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Red69
458753.6
361624.4
410713.9
Blue103
218325.1
394617.5
375320.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10158015020069103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
red by 28.5
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.2
End3.1
Second
3616
#14
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End3.6
red by 4.4
3753
#13
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Third
4107
#21
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 3.6
3946
#16
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach odds56%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds1%Capture odds