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Qual 162016 Palmetto Regional
Red50
348924.4
220033.3
408310.2
Blue20
532713.5
34216.8
90013.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59502040801005020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#6
33.30.6
23.2→22.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End10.6
red by 16.5
342
#54
16.83.3
18.6→15.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
3489
#32
24.40.6
17.9→17.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 10.5
900
#48
13.93.3
16.9→13.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
4083
#56
10.20.6
14.4→13.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End0.5
blue by 3.3
5327
#35
13.53.3
14.2→10.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed