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Qual 272016 Palmetto Regional
Red75
34330.5
454723.0
110226.9
Blue52
426524.3
474816.6
502215.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66500204060801001207552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#11
30.51.5
25.3→26.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End7.2
red by 6.2
4265
#34
24.30.4
24.8→24.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.4
End3.2
Second
1102
#18
26.91.5
17.7→19.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End4.3
red by 10.3
4748
#52
16.60.4
13.2→12.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Third
4547
#10
23.01.5
18.7→20.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.6
red by 7.4
5022
#26
15.60.4
12.7→12.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed