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Red70
23721.8
90013.9
453318.0
Blue67
153921.6
217224.4
541019.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585635404550606570757067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#15
21.81.6
24.726.3
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 2.5
24.41.4
22.223.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Second
4533
#45
18.01.6
15.617.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 3.6
1539
#38
21.61.4
12.914.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.7
End4.3
Third
900
#48
13.91.6
15.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 5.2
5410
#19
19.11.4
19.320.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed