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Qual 412016 Palmetto Regional
Red56
506321.0
34330.5
426712.9
Blue52
34216.8
490218.6
128723.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614802040801001205652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#11
30.51.3
26.8→25.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End7.2
red by 7.5
1287
#22
23.00.4
19.8→20.1
Auto9.8
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Second
5063
#25
21.01.3
19.4→18.1
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End4.7
red by 2.4
4902
#39
18.60.4
12.5→12.9
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
4267
#50
12.91.3
11.5→10.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 3.9
342
#54
16.80.4
16.6→16.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed