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Red77
220033.3
482315.6
401318.3
Blue67
255623.3
281526.2
454723.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61563040507080901007767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.32.0
27.629.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End10.6
red by 7.1
2815
#17
26.21.3
15.616.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Second
4013
#20
18.32.0
15.417.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 5.0
2556
#46
23.31.3
19.520.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Third
4823
#12
15.62.0
15.717.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 7.3
4547
#10
23.01.3
20.121.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed