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Red42
484714.7
34216.8
541019.1
Blue80
155321.3
261428.3
238627.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586701001502004280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#19
19.12.3
20.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 9.2
2614
#16
28.31.8
25.026.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
342
#54
16.82.3
16.914.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 10.7
2386
#24
27.51.8
22.724.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End6.5
Third
4847
#57
14.72.3
20.217.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.5
blue by 6.6
1553
#36
21.31.8
15.917.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed