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Qual 562016 Palmetto Regional
Red77
281526.2
450419.6
155321.3
Blue114
12032.8
239334.0
218720.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5182020406010012014077114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#17
26.22.5
19.5→22.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End4.9
blue by 7.7
2393
#13
34.03.8
29.9→33.7
Auto6.9
Teleop20.7
End6.4
Second
1553
#36
21.32.5
17.7→20.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
blue by 11.5
120
#40
32.83.8
24.7→28.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End4.4
Third
4504
#30
19.62.5
17.1→19.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 0.4
2187
#49
20.03.8
20.6→24.3
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed