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Qual 602016 Palmetto Regional
Red52
616720.0
426524.3
424319.7
Blue72
532713.5
348924.4
187634.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616040507080905272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#34
24.30.7
21.8→21.1
Auto4.6
Teleop16.4
End3.2
blue by 10.4
1876
#8
34.71.5
27.8→29.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.5
End10.3
Second
6167
#44
20.00.7
18.8→18.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End3.9
blue by 4.4
3489
#32
24.41.5
18.5→19.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Third
4243
#23
19.70.7
17.8→17.0
Auto8.9
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 6.2
5327
#35
13.51.5
12.6→14.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed