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Red45
577714.5
502015.3
513016.9
Blue91
349026.3
128723.0
496520.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4059020801001204591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#55
16.90.4
15.215.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.4
blue by 9.5
3490
#14
26.33.0
19.522.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Second
5020
#59
15.30.4
14.314.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 7.7
1287
#22
23.03.0
18.721.7
Auto9.8
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Third
5777
#61
14.50.4
11.712.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 5.5
4965
#21
20.03.0
16.018.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed