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Red25
490112.4
401318.3
105116.2
Blue50
136919.2
426712.9
453318.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948304060702550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#20
18.32.5
17.414.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 1.0
1369
#28
19.20.3
18.217.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Second
1051
#60
16.22.5
18.315.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End1.0
blue by 1.8
4533
#45
18.00.3
18.718.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Third
4901
#51
12.42.5
11.79.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
blue by 0.5
4267
#50
12.90.3
10.710.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed