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Qual 702016 Palmetto Regional
Red82
220033.3
424319.7
490218.6
Blue70
239334.0
513016.9
136919.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63700501001502008270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#6
33.32.2
30.4→32.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End10.6
blue by 0.7
2393
#13
34.00.2
33.7→33.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.7
End6.4
Second
4243
#23
19.72.2
17.0→19.2
Auto8.9
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 0.5
1369
#28
19.20.2
17.9→17.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Third
4902
#39
18.62.2
15.0→17.1
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
red by 1.8
5130
#55
16.90.2
15.6→15.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed