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Qual 822016 Palmetto Regional
Red80
12032.8
426712.9
255623.3
Blue76
407416.2
348924.4
153921.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69564060801008076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#40
32.81.5
32.1→33.6
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End4.4
red by 8.4
3489
#32
24.42.1
22.4→24.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Second
2556
#46
23.31.5
21.8→23.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End5.2
red by 1.7
1539
#38
21.62.1
19.5→21.6
Auto2.7
Teleop14.7
End4.3
Third
4267
#50
12.91.5
11.4→12.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 3.4
4074
#64
16.22.1
14.2→16.2
Auto1.5
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed