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Semifinal 1-12016 Palmetto Regional
Red132
445137.1
17943.2
136919.2
Blue95
12032.8
220033.3
238627.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711610011012013014013295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
43.20.5
42.1→42.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End10.4
red by 9.9
2200
#6
33.30.7
34.4→33.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End10.6
Second
4451
#4
37.10.5
36.0→36.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.3
End4.6
red by 4.3
120
#40
32.80.7
33.9→33.2
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End4.4
Third
1369
#28
19.20.5
18.1→18.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.1
blue by 8.3
2386
#24
27.50.7
28.6→27.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End6.5