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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Tesla Division
Red250
169056.1
205667.8
301538.2
Blue130
323845.4
7440.1
205440.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221164100150200250300250130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
67.80.8
68.6→69.4
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 22.4
3238
#15
45.40.4
45.8→45.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
1690
#4
56.10.8
56.9→57.7
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 16.0
2054
#23
40.10.4
40.4→40.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Third
3015
#31
38.20.8
38.9→39.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
blue by 1.9
74
#11
40.10.4
40.4→40.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9