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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Tesla Division
Red147
313046.6
241543.8
304233.4
Blue140
54842.9
448843.6
125033.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471670100200300400500147140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
46.60.1
46.6→46.4
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
red by 3.0
4488
#7
43.60.2
43.8→43.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Second
2415
#51
43.80.1
43.7→43.6
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
red by 0.8
548
#48
42.90.2
43.2→42.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Third
3042
#18
33.40.1
33.4→33.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 0.1
1250
#28
33.30.2
33.6→33.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8