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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Tesla Division
Red152
245149.6
180648.7
219436.7
Blue113
17745.2
11142.4
167539.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171164120140180200220152113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#2
49.60.4
51.5→51.1
Auto12.6
Teleop30.5
End6.6
red by 4.4
177
#21
45.20.8
46.2→45.4
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
1806
#5
48.70.4
50.6→50.2
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
red by 6.3
111
#24
42.40.8
43.3→42.5
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
Third
2194
#45
36.70.4
36.8→36.5
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
blue by 2.6
1675
#10
39.30.8
40.1→39.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1