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Qual 12016 Tesla Division
Red124
511446.3
6632.0
109939.8
Blue72
356019.9
446841.3
505334.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169040608010014016018012472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#38
46.31.0
42.4→43.4
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
red by 5.0
4468
#16
41.31.3
38.8→37.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
Second
1099
#17
39.81.0
34.4→35.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
red by 4.9
5053
#35
34.91.3
31.7→30.4
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Third
66
#65
32.01.0
32.4→33.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
red by 12.0
3560
#74
19.91.3
21.0→19.7
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
65%Capture oddsMissed62%Capture oddsMissed