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Qual 1012016 Tesla Division
Red87
205440.1
572623.5
17745.2
Blue75
580921.5
365529.4
53718.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1315901001502008775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#21
45.22.0
48.5→46.5
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 15.8
3655
#53
29.40.2
27.7→27.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Second
2054
#23
40.12.0
42.4→40.4
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
red by 18.6
5809
#71
21.50.2
22.1→22.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Third
5726
#41
23.52.0
26.0→24.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
red by 4.9
537
#70
18.60.2
17.7→17.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed