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Qual 222016 Tesla Division
Red111
613417.4
17745.2
130632.0
Blue114
60424.9
241543.8
304441.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75112050100150200111114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#21
45.21.8
43.2→45.1
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 1.5
2415
#51
43.80.3
41.4→41.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Second
1306
#34
32.01.8
28.2→30.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
blue by 9.2
3044
#46
41.20.3
39.3→39.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Third
6134
#63
17.42.0
7.1→9.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End3.6
blue by 7.5
604
#55
24.90.3
23.0→22.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed