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Red126
11142.4
283447.1
60424.9
Blue110
205667.8
591525.0
323845.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11514550100200126110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.7
45.846.5
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 20.7
67.82.1
70.067.9
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
Second
111
#24
42.40.7
47.448.1
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
blue by 3.0
3238
#15
45.42.1
43.040.9
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Third
604
#55
24.90.7
22.723.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
blue by 0.1
5915
#68
25.02.1
23.821.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed