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Qual 662016 Tesla Division
Red99
125033.3
78126.7
591525.0
Blue101
621929.7
109939.8
543738.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7911405010015020099101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#28
33.30.5
34.5→34.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
blue by 6.4
1099
#17
39.80.3
37.4→37.1
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
781
#62
26.70.5
25.4→25.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
blue by 11.4
5437
#19
38.10.3
40.1→39.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Third
5915
#68
25.00.5
22.3→22.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 4.6
6219
#27
29.70.3
28.5→28.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed