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Red141
282339.0
167539.3
109939.8
Blue111
60424.9
301538.2
252234.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11789050100150200141111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#17
39.81.4
37.138.5
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
red by 1.5
3015
#31
38.21.0
35.536.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
Second
1675
#10
39.31.4
36.037.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
red by 4.9
2522
#13
34.41.0
31.432.5
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
39.01.4
36.638.1
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 14.1
604
#55
24.91.0
23.324.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed