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Qual 962016 Tesla Division
Red98
109939.8
493033.8
219436.7
Blue148
323845.4
585433.0
7440.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171098010014016098148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#17
39.81.3
38.5→37.2
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
blue by 5.6
3238
#15
45.42.7
40.1→42.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
2194
#45
36.71.3
37.9→36.7
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
blue by 3.4
74
#11
40.12.7
35.7→38.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
Third
4930
#49
33.81.3
35.7→34.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
red by 0.8
5854
#56
33.02.7
31.3→34.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsMissed44%Capture oddsEarned