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Qual 982016 Tesla Division
Red95
617128.9
186032.8
490532.3
Blue80
27228.5
356019.9
151028.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977402040601201401609580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#67
32.80.3
30.8→31.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
red by 4.3
272
#20
28.50.0
28.8→28.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Second
4905
#37
32.30.3
31.8→32.0
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
red by 3.8
1510
#61
28.50.0
27.4→27.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Third
6171
#39
28.90.3
28.3→28.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 9.0
3560
#74
19.90.0
19.1→19.1
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed