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Qual 132016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red52
398424.7
426428.4
297323.7
Blue82
178534.7
496522.8
248155.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4711801001502005282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#19
28.40.5
16.7→16.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
blue by 26.7
2481
#4
55.11.6
51.6→50.0
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
3984
#31
24.70.5
17.8→17.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
blue by 10.0
1785
#18
34.71.5
29.7→28.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.8
End7.1
Third
2973
#26
23.70.3
21.8→21.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
red by 0.8
4965
#34
22.82.0
22.9→20.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed