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Red70
453327.4
518623.8
430623.0
Blue72
348925.8
426531.6
384316.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536802040801001201407072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#22
27.41.3
21.723.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 4.3
31.60.2
24.724.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
5186
#36
23.81.8
16.017.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
blue by 2.1
3489
#48
25.80.2
24.424.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7
Third
4306
#23
23.01.8
16.518.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End3.2
red by 6.8
3843
#44
16.20.3
15.315.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed