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Red62
426531.6
574418.5
496522.8
Blue124
557126.3
474024.3
248155.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58101020408012014016062124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.0
24.924.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 23.5
55.11.5
50.652.1
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
4965
#34
22.80.0
19.419.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
blue by 3.5
5571
#33
26.32.5
22.224.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End3.6
Third
5744
#27
18.50.1
18.218.1
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.5
blue by 5.8
4740
#40
24.32.5
18.921.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed