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Red54
264115.2
398424.7
348925.8
Blue109
550827.6
395935.9
502227.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6083204010012014016054109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#48
25.80.5
25.424.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7
blue by 10.0
35.92.1
34.236.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
3984
#31
24.70.8
21.921.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
blue by 2.9
5508
#39
27.63.6
21.525.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Third
2641
#49
15.20.5
14.113.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 11.9
5022
#16
27.12.1
21.223.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed