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Red62
430623.0
450429.3
384316.2
Blue126
396622.6
248155.1
171028.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44102015062126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4504
#17
29.30.9
21.922.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End5.7
blue by 25.8
55.12.4
50.052.4
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
4306
#23
23.01.2
15.316.5
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End3.2
blue by 5.8
1710
#24
28.84.0
18.822.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
3843
#44
16.21.2
14.115.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 6.4
3966
#28
22.62.9
21.324.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned