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Qual 42016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red60
398424.7
518623.8
131922.8
Blue25
384316.2
28329.6
264115.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801006025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#31
24.70.3
18.1→17.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End5.7
blue by 4.9
283
#30
29.62.0
21.9→20.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.3
End5.0
Second
5186
#36
23.80.3
16.3→16.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 7.6
3843
#44
16.23.3
17.3→14.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
1319
#41
22.80.2
23.5→23.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.3
red by 7.6
2641
#49
15.22.0
15.0→13.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed