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Qual 402016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red78
191231.2
463024.4
610520.0
Blue100
382449.7
297323.7
28129.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010520408012014016018078100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#35
31.20.8
30.6→31.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
blue by 18.5
3824
#3
49.70.3
48.0→48.3
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
Second
4630
#20
24.41.4
18.2→19.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 4.6
281
#21
29.00.3
27.6→27.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Third
6105
#45
20.01.4
16.6→18.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End4.3
blue by 3.7
2973
#26
23.70.3
20.0→20.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned