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Qual 422016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red44
402034.5
384316.2
325923.8
Blue98
450429.3
285627.4
395935.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6991204060801001201401604498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#15
34.51.8
33.7→31.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End7.3
blue by 1.3
3959
#6
35.90.5
36.4→36.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
3259
#29
23.83.0
20.5→17.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 5.5
4504
#17
29.30.5
25.9→26.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Third
3843
#44
16.23.0
16.4→13.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 11.2
2856
#14
27.40.9
22.7→23.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed