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Red72
319321.4
457625.1
557126.3
Blue51
500517.3
264115.2
191231.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73562040801001207251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5571
#33
26.30.1
23.723.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End3.6
blue by 4.9
1912
#35
31.20.4
31.431.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Second
4576
#25
25.10.1
25.425.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End5.0
red by 7.8
5005
#47
17.30.6
11.510.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Third
3193
#43
21.40.1
18.818.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 6.1
2641
#49
15.20.4
13.613.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed