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Red101
248155.1
463024.4
574418.5
Blue88
426428.4
264115.2
395935.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101705015010188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.1
52.952.8
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
red by 19.2
35.91.0
36.937.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
4630
#20
24.40.2
22.522.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 4.0
4264
#19
28.41.7
22.624.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
Third
5744
#27
18.50.2
17.817.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.5
red by 3.3
2641
#49
15.21.0
13.214.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed