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Qual 632016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red122
319321.4
384434.7
393746.6
Blue107
248155.1
621925.0
384316.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100946080120140122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#5
46.61.7
47.0→48.8
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
blue by 8.5
2481
#4
55.10.6
52.8→53.4
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
Second
3844
#7
34.72.6
30.2→32.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 9.7
6219
#38
25.01.0
23.9→24.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Third
3193
#43
21.41.7
19.2→20.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 5.2
3843
#44
16.21.0
15.8→16.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed