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Red92
393746.6
474024.3
264115.2
Blue101
405034.6
384434.7
297323.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8793608010012014092101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.1
48.848.9
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 11.9
34.70.6
32.833.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
4740
#40
24.30.1
22.322.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 10.2
4050
#13
34.60.4
34.635.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Third
2641
#49
15.20.1
14.414.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 8.5
2973
#26
23.70.4
22.022.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned