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Qual 72016 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red104
28129.0
198655.1
426428.4
Blue77
393746.6
285627.4
426531.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028405015020010477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
55.10.2
52.9→52.7
Auto16.8
Teleop28.9
End9.4
red by 8.5
3937
#5
46.60.7
44.2→43.5
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End10.3
Second
281
#21
29.00.2
26.4→26.2
Auto8.1
Teleop16.5
End4.4
blue by 2.6
4265
#9
31.60.7
24.3→23.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
4264
#19
28.40.2
17.0→16.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 1.0
2856
#14
27.40.8
15.9→15.1
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed