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Red99
325923.8
395935.9
500221.2
Blue81
405034.6
191231.2
474024.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277020401001201409981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.1
30.032.1
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 1.3
4050
#13
34.60.7
27.228.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Second
3259
#29
23.83.5
16.019.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 7.3
1912
#35
31.20.6
28.128.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
5002
#42
21.22.8
16.719.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
blue by 3.1
4740
#40
24.30.9
17.518.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed