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Red185
248155.1
382449.7
474024.3
Blue160
446234.0
426531.6
348925.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16010350150200250185160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.3
53.954.2
Auto18.1
Teleop30.5
End6.5
red by 21.1
4462
#10
34.00.7
33.334.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
49.70.3
48.548.8
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End6.7
red by 18.1
31.60.6
31.131.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
4740
#40
24.30.4
22.823.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 1.5
3489
#48
25.80.6
25.325.8
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End4.7