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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Dallas Regional
Red118
545428.3
543734.8
436416.4
Blue122
347826.5
541721.7
543130.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100850204060120140160118122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#5
34.80.2
34.5→34.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 4.4
5431
#18
30.40.4
28.5→29.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Second
5454
#7
28.30.2
28.0→28.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.9
red by 1.8
3478
#12
26.50.4
24.9→25.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
4364
#33
16.40.2
16.0→16.3
Auto7.7
Teleop6.4
End2.4
blue by 5.3
5417
#10
21.70.4
20.4→20.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0