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Qual 142016 Dallas Regional
Red47
464114.9
524224.8
582018.5
Blue40
613316.4
328210.7
407617.0
62%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524002060801001204740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#14
24.80.2
17.7→17.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 7.8
4076
#29
17.00.7
14.3→13.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Second
5820
#22
18.50.2
13.6→13.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
red by 2.0
6133
#31
16.40.7
15.2→14.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Third
4641
#42
14.90.2
17.3→17.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.8
red by 4.3
3282
#38
10.70.7
11.4→10.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed