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Qual 282016 Dallas Regional
Red74
577521.2
530722.2
373521.0
Blue81
380227.9
284837.7
461016.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62722040801001207481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5307
#21
22.20.9
21.5→22.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
blue by 15.5
2848
#1
37.70.6
29.7→30.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End6.2
Second
5775
#9
21.20.9
19.5→20.3
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 6.7
3802
#6
27.90.9
22.9→23.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End5.0
Third
3735
#19
21.00.6
20.4→21.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End3.8
red by 4.7
4610
#30
16.30.9
15.5→16.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed