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Red10
43786.0
335521.6
505717.1
Blue74
367624.3
524224.8
530722.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386802060801001201074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3355
#11
21.63.5
17.113.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 3.2
5242
#14
24.80.9
22.022.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Second
5057
#28
17.13.5
13.610.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 7.2
3676
#13
24.30.9
17.818.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End6.3
Third
4378
#40
6.03.5
10.67.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 16.2
5307
#21
22.20.9
21.622.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed