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Qual 452016 Dallas Regional
Red63
461016.3
582018.5
419223.3
Blue74
347826.5
617127.8
464114.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5070204060801001206374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#16
23.31.2
20.4→21.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 4.6
6171
#24
27.80.5
25.0→25.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
5820
#22
18.51.2
16.3→17.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
blue by 8.1
3478
#12
26.50.3
26.4→26.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
4610
#30
16.31.2
15.1→16.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End1.8
red by 1.3
4641
#42
14.90.5
13.5→14.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed