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Red44
30379.7
582018.5
38323.4
Blue59
335521.6
335010.5
541721.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55470204060804459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#34
23.41.2
23.522.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 1.7
5417
#10
21.70.8
19.820.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Second
5820
#22
18.51.2
17.916.7
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
blue by 3.1
3355
#11
21.61.1
20.321.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Third
3037
#43
9.71.2
11.19.9
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 0.8
3350
#36
10.51.1
6.98.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed