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Red52
436416.4
461016.3
623514.9
Blue84
367624.3
541123.6
505717.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466302040801001205284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4364
#33
16.40.0
15.915.9
Auto7.7
Teleop6.4
End2.4
blue by 8.0
3676
#13
24.31.4
22.523.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End6.3
Second
4610
#30
16.30.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 7.3
5411
#17
23.61.4
22.223.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
6235
#26
14.90.0
13.913.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 2.2
5057
#28
17.11.4
13.915.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed