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Red92
617127.8
543130.4
261313.4
Blue42
407617.0
545428.3
337013.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6567204060801009242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#18
30.41.7
27.028.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End5.8
red by 2.1
28.31.8
29.427.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.9
Second
6171
#24
27.81.7
24.225.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 10.9
4076
#29
17.02.5
20.217.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Third
2613
#27
13.41.7
12.113.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 0.2
3370
#39
13.72.5
15.112.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed