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Red70
373521.0
337013.7
347826.5
Blue47
367624.3
70419.3
50477.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684102060801007047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#12
26.50.5
26.927.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.9
End6.0
red by 2.2
3676
#13
24.30.2
15.014.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End6.3
Second
3735
#19
21.00.8
21.121.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End3.8
red by 1.7
704
#32
19.30.2
12.011.8
Auto1.6
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Third
3370
#39
13.70.9
14.115.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.5
red by 6.1
5047
#41
7.60.2
17.016.8
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed