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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Lone Star Regional
Red97
147733.9
142131.1
164221.9
Blue115
384729.7
215835.8
235230.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091255015020097115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.4
34.334.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 1.8
35.80.2
36.336.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
31.10.4
31.531.2
Auto8.1
Teleop17.7
End5.4
red by 0.6
2352
#20
30.50.2
31.030.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
1642
#29
21.90.4
22.322.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 7.8
3847
#17
29.70.2
30.230.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2